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Red65
686329.6
859260.4
61231.5
Blue142
34643.9
141840.6
61134.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135109608010012016018020065142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.43.9
59.055.1
Auto14.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
red by 16.5
346
#34
43.92.1
40.742.8
Auto12.5
Teleop26.6
End5.1
Second
612
#42
31.53.9
34.230.3
Auto9.0
Teleop15.7
End6.8
blue by 9.0
1418
#13
40.62.1
36.138.2
Auto13.3
Teleop21.7
End5.4
Third
6863
#21
29.63.9
30.426.5
Auto8.1
Teleop14.4
End6.8
blue by 5.3
611
#50
34.92.1
28.630.7
Auto9.3
Teleop20.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
63%Sustainability oddsMissed46%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsMissed29%Activation oddsEarned