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Red125
161037.9
190839.4
40158.5
Blue122
42255.6
83650.1
159947.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131165100150200250125122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#6
58.51.0
56.855.8
Auto13.2
Teleop37.4
End6.4
red by 2.8
422
#11
55.61.9
53.851.9
Auto14.8
Teleop34.2
End6.4
Second
1908
#29
39.41.0
38.537.6
Auto11.8
Teleop19.5
End7.9
blue by 10.7
836
#31
50.11.9
47.445.4
Auto13.6
Teleop28.3
End7.9
Third
1610
#14
37.91.0
33.832.8
Auto8.1
Teleop23.3
End6.4
blue by 9.8
1599
#10
47.71.9
51.449.4
Auto11.9
Teleop27.8
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
77%Sustainability oddsEarned96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsMissed85%Activation oddsMissed