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Red123
903329.2
572446.2
126221.1
Blue119
777027.6
162949.7
242130.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9311250150200123119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5724
#18
46.21.6
43.344.8
Auto10.7
Teleop26.1
End8.6
blue by 3.5
1629
#12
49.70.4
48.448.9
Auto14.8
Teleop28.4
End5.8
Second
9033
#49
29.21.6
25.627.2
Auto8.5
Teleop16.8
End4.0
blue by 1.4
2421
#51
30.60.4
27.227.6
Auto10.4
Teleop11.6
End8.6
Third
1262
#59
21.11.6
20.622.1
Auto5.2
Teleop15.1
End1.0
blue by 6.5
7770
#43
27.60.4
26.727.1
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
41%Sustainability oddsMissed38%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
24%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned