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Red111
533841.5
862218.2
632642.0
Blue131
447248.1
206822.1
111140.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9811350150200111131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6326
#25
42.01.1
38.339.4
Auto9.4
Teleop24.6
End7.3
blue by 6.1
4472
#19
48.11.8
46.548.3
Auto14.6
Teleop25.2
End7.6
Second
5338
#55
41.51.1
42.343.5
Auto7.9
Teleop28.2
End5.4
red by 1.3
1111
#15
40.31.8
39.040.8
Auto10.9
Teleop21.3
End8.1
Third
8622
#53
18.21.1
13.514.7
Auto2.3
Teleop11.8
End4.3
blue by 3.9
2068
#58
22.11.8
18.620.4
Auto5.2
Teleop13.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsEarned45%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed38%Activation oddsEarned