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Red124
61134.9
161037.9
686329.6
Blue121
393938.5
97730.8
313640.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93117050150200124121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1610
#14
37.92.3
32.835.1
Auto8.1
Teleop23.3
End6.4
blue by 3.0
3136
#39
40.91.0
40.741.6
Auto11.5
Teleop23.2
End6.3
Second
611
#50
34.92.3
30.733.0
Auto9.3
Teleop20.3
End5.2
blue by 3.6
3939
#32
38.51.0
37.338.3
Auto10.3
Teleop22.2
End5.9
Third
6863
#21
29.62.3
26.528.7
Auto8.1
Teleop14.4
End6.8
blue by 1.2
977
#48
30.81.0
28.829.7
Auto9.9
Teleop13.9
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsEarned42%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsEarned