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Red136
823038.5
83650.1
61231.5
Blue146
112352.4
159947.7
173160.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113172050100150200250300136146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#31
50.11.2
45.446.6
Auto13.6
Teleop28.3
End7.9
blue by 10.2
60.30.9
57.756.8
Auto14.5
Teleop34.9
End8.7
Second
8230
#36
38.51.2
37.939.0
Auto14.1
Teleop17.9
End6.6
blue by 13.8
52.40.9
54.153.2
Auto11.5
Teleop31.5
End8.0
Third
612
#42
31.51.2
30.331.5
Auto9.0
Teleop15.7
End6.8
blue by 16.2
1599
#10
47.70.9
49.448.6
Auto11.9
Teleop27.8
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
48%Sustainability oddsEarned94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned