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Red152
141840.6
680249.1
38456.8
Blue140
219951.7
88841.7
61440.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14513680100120160180200220152140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#9
56.81.2
54.255.3
Auto13.9
Teleop34.7
End7.0
red by 5.1
2199
#24
51.70.8
48.449.1
Auto15.8
Teleop25.9
End9.0
Second
49.11.2
44.345.4
Auto16.2
Teleop24.8
End7.6
red by 7.3
888
#33
41.70.8
40.541.3
Auto13.3
Teleop20.5
End8.0
Third
1418
#13
40.61.2
38.239.4
Auto13.3
Teleop21.7
End5.4
red by 0.3
614
#26
40.20.8
39.740.4
Auto13.1
Teleop20.3
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned