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Red56
698619.3
998611.3
801516.2
Blue34
582316.9
544917.7
516516.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5454204060805634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6986
Unranked
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End5.1
red by 1.6
5449
Unranked
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End4.7
Second
8015
Unranked
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto4.6
Teleop8.0
End4.3
blue by 0.7
5823
Unranked
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.8
End4.5
Third
9986
Unranked
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.2
End3.0
blue by 5.4
5165
Unranked
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability odds4%Sustainability odds
Activation
25%Activation odds37%Activation odds