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Red50
881016.7
694023.2
801134.9
Blue43
551517.7
752234.2
573716.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81720501001502002505043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8011
Unranked
34.90.0
34.934.9
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End7.3
red by 0.7
7522
Unranked
34.20.0
34.234.2
Auto13.0
Teleop17.4
End3.9
Second
6940
Unranked
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto7.2
Teleop8.8
End7.1
red by 5.5
5515
Unranked
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End4.7
Third
8810
Unranked
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End4.4
blue by 0.2
5737
Unranked
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability odds7%Sustainability odds
Activation
70%Activation odds29%Activation odds