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Red40
690728.3
752917.3
551517.7
Blue60
676616.6
881116.7
698619.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695401001502004060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6907
Unranked
28.30.0
28.328.3
Auto6.2
Teleop14.8
End7.2
red by 9.0
6986
Unranked
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto5.3
Teleop8.9
End5.1
Second
5515
Unranked
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End4.7
red by 1.0
8811
Unranked
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End4.4
Third
7529
Unranked
17.30.0
17.317.3
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End4.6
red by 0.6
6766
Unranked
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability odds4%Sustainability odds
Activation
50%Activation odds38%Activation odds