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Red34
704717.5
516516.7
728017.5
Blue70
821432.8
635314.1
694023.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527801001502003470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7047
Unranked
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.1
End4.6
blue by 15.3
8214
Unranked
32.80.0
32.832.8
Auto6.8
Teleop19.7
End6.3
Second
7280
Unranked
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.1
End4.6
blue by 5.7
6940
Unranked
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto7.2
Teleop8.8
End7.1
Third
5165
Unranked
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End4.4
red by 2.6
6353
Unranked
14.10.0
14.114.1
Auto1.7
Teleop7.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability odds14%Sustainability odds
Activation
37%Activation odds24%Activation odds