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Red161
133958.4
179922.4
449966.4
Blue133
406845.2
429333.6
441825.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16110150150200161133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.40.4
66.066.4
Auto17.3
Teleop38.9
End9.8
red by 21.2
45.20.6
44.745.2
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End7.3
Second
58.40.4
58.058.4
Auto15.4
Teleop34.2
End8.4
red by 24.8
33.60.6
33.033.6
Auto11.2
Teleop15.4
End7.0
Third
1799
#27
22.40.4
22.022.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.5
End5.0
blue by 3.0
4418
#22
25.40.6
24.825.4
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End7.2