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Red165
133958.4
179922.4
449966.4
Blue92
406845.2
429333.6
441825.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1591025015020016592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.40.4
65.666.0
Auto17.3
Teleop38.9
End9.8
red by 21.2
45.20.2
44.944.7
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End7.3
Second
58.40.4
57.658.0
Auto15.4
Teleop34.2
End8.4
red by 24.8
33.60.2
33.233.0
Auto11.2
Teleop15.4
End7.0
Third
1799
#27
22.40.4
21.622.0
Auto3.8
Teleop13.5
End5.0
blue by 3.0
4418
#22
25.40.2
25.124.8
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End7.2