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Red122
441825.4
429333.6
406845.2
Blue117
224052.6
299642.0
438820.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106126406080140160180200122117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.4
44.544.9
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End7.3
blue by 7.4
52.60.0
52.652.6
Auto10.7
Teleop32.2
End9.5
Second
33.60.4
32.833.2
Auto11.2
Teleop15.4
End7.0
blue by 8.4
2996
#15
42.00.0
41.942.0
Auto11.6
Teleop23.6
End6.8
Third
4418
#22
25.40.4
24.625.1
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End7.2
red by 4.6
4388
#30
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End5.8