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Match 122023 Colorado Regional
Red116
329814.7
141045.2
161963.5
Blue135
224052.6
299642.0
438820.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13512080100160180200116135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#3
63.50.3
63.8→63.5
Auto15.3
Teleop37.9
End9.9
red by 10.9
2240
#6
52.60.4
52.2→52.6
Auto10.7
Teleop32.2
End9.5
Second
1410
#2
45.20.3
45.5→45.2
Auto12.5
Teleop23.6
End9.1
red by 3.3
2996
#15
42.00.4
41.6→41.9
Auto11.6
Teleop23.6
End6.8
Third
3298
#31
14.70.3
15.0→14.7
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End3.1
blue by 6.1
4388
#30
20.80.3
20.4→20.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End5.8