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Qual 212023 Colorado Regional
Red83
494437.6
299642.0
747910.6
Blue59
438820.8
101115.0
179922.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8353020401001201401608359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#15
42.00.6
25.6→26.2
Auto11.6
Teleop23.6
End6.8
red by 19.5
1799
#27
22.40.0
16.4→16.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.5
End5.0
Second
4944
#9
37.60.6
28.9→29.5
Auto9.5
Teleop21.8
End6.3
red by 16.8
4388
#30
20.80.0
22.9→22.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End5.8
Third
7479
#40
10.61.0
19.7→20.7
Auto5.4
Teleop2.1
End3.1
blue by 4.4
1011
#32
15.00.0
14.6→14.6
Auto1.8
Teleop10.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned24%Activation oddsMissed