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Qual 222023 Colorado Regional
Red45
208319.7
15923.6
911215.9
Blue104
372937.0
692027.5
113827.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64760204010012014045104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159
#26
23.61.9
27.2→25.4
Auto6.7
Teleop12.2
End4.5
blue by 13.4
3729
#21
37.00.5
33.5→34.0
Auto11.2
Teleop19.0
End6.7
Second
2083
#36
19.71.9
12.7→10.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End8.3
blue by 8.1
1138
#13
27.70.5
23.1→23.6
Auto6.9
Teleop14.9
End6.0
Third
9112
#39
15.91.9
21.9→20.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.5
End5.7
blue by 11.6
6920
#11
27.50.8
12.8→13.7
Auto10.0
Teleop12.0
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsMissed