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Red81
226115.4
692027.5
455040.0
Blue75
747910.6
576314.9
203630.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8540020601001201401608175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.5
37.537.9
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End8.7
red by 9.8
2036
#19
30.23.3
25.428.7
Auto13.3
Teleop8.9
End8.1
Second
6920
#11
27.50.7
19.420.1
Auto10.0
Teleop12.0
End5.6
red by 12.6
5763
#33
14.93.3
9.913.2
Auto6.5
Teleop4.2
End4.2
Third
2261
#28
15.40.7
17.318.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.7
End6.0
red by 4.8
7479
#40
10.63.3
7.811.1
Auto5.4
Teleop2.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned22%Activation oddsEarned