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Red87
13039.9
364831.4
66224.3
Blue42
438820.8
441825.4
911215.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69650501001502008742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3648
#16
31.41.5
22.724.2
Auto6.5
Teleop17.4
End7.5
red by 6.0
4418
#22
25.41.3
23.021.7
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End7.2
Second
662
#20
24.32.4
26.528.8
Auto7.2
Teleop11.6
End5.6
red by 3.5
4388
#30
20.82.0
20.918.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End5.8
Third
1303
#29
9.92.4
15.117.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.1
End2.9
blue by 6.0
9112
#39
15.92.0
17.615.5
Auto4.7
Teleop5.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsMissed