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Red90
455040.0
179922.4
208319.7
Blue98
441825.4
380720.7
337434.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8772501001509098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.7
37.938.6
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End8.7
red by 5.5
3374
#12
34.51.9
31.233.1
Auto9.8
Teleop18.2
End6.6
Second
1799
#27
22.41.0
23.624.7
Auto3.8
Teleop13.5
End5.0
blue by 3.0
4418
#22
25.41.9
21.723.6
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End7.2
Third
2083
#36
19.71.0
17.918.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End8.3
blue by 1.1
3807
#25
20.72.8
16.319.1
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsEarned