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Red40
197721.3
226115.4
906820.1
Blue153
113827.7
459334.5
449966.4
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631465010020040153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1977
#18
21.32.9
23.020.2
Auto7.5
Teleop10.1
End3.6
blue by 45.1
66.40.3
64.163.9
Auto17.3
Teleop38.9
End9.8
Second
9068
#23
20.12.9
28.825.9
Auto7.6
Teleop9.9
End2.6
blue by 14.4
4593
#10
34.50.3
33.733.5
Auto8.9
Teleop18.1
End7.5
Third
2261
#28
15.42.9
18.015.2
Auto3.7
Teleop5.7
End6.0
blue by 12.3
1138
#13
27.70.3
28.928.6
Auto6.9
Teleop14.9
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed92%Activation oddsEarned