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Red102
494437.6
101115.0
141045.2
Blue96
364831.4
203630.2
911215.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions956902040608012014016010296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.21.1
40.541.6
Auto12.5
Teleop23.6
End9.1
red by 13.8
3648
#16
31.41.8
24.226.1
Auto6.5
Teleop17.4
End7.5
Second
37.61.1
34.235.3
Auto9.5
Teleop21.8
End6.3
red by 7.4
2036
#19
30.22.7
28.731.3
Auto13.3
Teleop8.9
End8.1
Third
1011
#32
15.01.1
11.312.4
Auto1.8
Teleop10.3
End2.9
blue by 0.8
9112
#39
15.92.7
15.518.2
Auto4.7
Teleop5.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned