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Red91
549318.0
438820.8
299642.0
Blue140
748513.2
329814.7
161963.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73932040608010012014091140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#15
42.01.4
36.237.6
Auto11.6
Teleop23.6
End6.8
blue by 21.5
63.52.2
60.362.5
Auto15.3
Teleop37.9
End9.9
Second
4388
#30
20.82.0
18.920.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End5.8
red by 6.1
3298
#31
14.72.2
12.114.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End3.1
Third
5493
#24
18.02.0
15.617.5
Auto6.2
Teleop8.5
End3.4
red by 4.8
7485
#41
13.22.9
12.715.6
Auto2.4
Teleop6.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed23%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned53%Activation oddsEarned