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Qual 72023 Colorado Regional
Red106
161963.5
833428.5
179922.4
Blue120
224052.6
372937.0
203630.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91109050150200106120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#3
63.51.5
52.8→54.3
Auto15.3
Teleop37.9
End9.9
red by 10.9
2240
#6
52.61.0
46.8→47.8
Auto10.7
Teleop32.2
End9.5
Second
8334
#14
28.52.0
18.5→20.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.1
End9.1
blue by 8.5
3729
#21
37.01.0
34.0→35.0
Auto11.2
Teleop19.0
End6.7
Third
1799
#27
22.42.0
16.8→18.8
Auto3.8
Teleop13.5
End5.0
blue by 7.8
2036
#19
30.21.6
19.6→21.2
Auto13.3
Teleop8.9
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned