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Red124
449966.4
441825.4
15923.6
Blue130
337434.5
438820.8
133958.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9699708090110120130124130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.42.2
55.157.4
Auto17.3
Teleop38.9
End9.8
red by 8.1
58.42.2
43.045.2
Auto15.4
Teleop34.2
End8.4
Second
4418
#22
25.42.5
15.918.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End7.2
blue by 9.1
3374
#12
34.52.2
30.132.2
Auto9.8
Teleop18.2
End6.6
Third
159
#26
23.63.7
19.323.1
Auto6.7
Teleop12.2
End4.5
red by 2.8
4388
#30
20.83.6
19.322.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned11%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned