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Red81
911215.9
101115.0
429333.6
Blue37
234115.2
208319.7
77378.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514930406070808137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.61.9
16.618.5
Auto11.2
Teleop15.4
End7.0
red by 13.9
2083
#36
19.71.6
14.312.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End8.3
Second
9112
#39
15.93.1
18.621.7
Auto4.7
Teleop5.5
End5.7
red by 0.6
2341
#42
15.21.0
17.116.1
Auto2.7
Teleop9.4
End3.2
Third
1011
#32
15.01.9
12.714.6
Auto1.8
Teleop10.3
End2.9
red by 6.3
7737
#43DQ
8.71.6
15.213.5
Auto3.2
Teleop0.9
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsEarned22%Activation oddsMissed