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Red120
208319.7
161963.5
101115.0
Blue53
748513.2
906820.1
724316.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10845020608010012014016012053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.51.4
62.463.8
Auto15.3
Teleop37.9
End9.9
red by 43.4
9068
#23
20.10.2
20.220.1
Auto7.6
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Second
2083
#36
19.71.6
17.719.3
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End8.3
red by 3.3
7243
#37
16.40.2
16.516.4
Auto7.2
Teleop8.4
End0.7
Third
1011
#32
15.01.4
13.615.0
Auto1.8
Teleop10.3
End2.9
red by 1.8
7485
#41
13.20.2
13.313.2
Auto2.4
Teleop6.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned20%Activation oddsMissed