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Red100
406845.2
429333.6
549318.0
Blue88
380720.7
372937.0
438820.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10178406012014016010088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.2
42.843.0
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End7.3
red by 8.2
3729
#21
37.00.5
36.436.9
Auto11.2
Teleop19.0
End6.7
Second
33.60.2
31.131.3
Auto11.2
Teleop15.4
End7.0
red by 12.7
4388
#30
20.80.5
19.319.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End5.8
Third
5493
#24
18.00.2
17.818.0
Auto6.2
Teleop8.5
End3.4
blue by 2.7
3807
#25
20.70.5
20.220.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsMissed