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Red136
329814.7
141045.2
161963.5
Blue97
337434.5
692027.5
203630.2
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139935015020013697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.50.3
63.864.1
Auto15.3
Teleop37.9
End9.9
red by 29.0
3374
#12
34.50.3
34.834.6
Auto9.8
Teleop18.2
End6.6
Second
45.20.3
45.645.8
Auto12.5
Teleop23.6
End9.1
red by 15.0
2036
#19
30.20.3
30.630.3
Auto13.3
Teleop8.9
End8.1
Third
3298
#31
14.70.3
15.115.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End3.1
blue by 12.8
6920
#11
27.50.3
27.927.6
Auto10.0
Teleop12.0
End5.6