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Red118
441825.4
429333.6
406845.2
Blue96
459334.5
364831.4
208319.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1078740608012014016018011896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.5
43.043.5
Auto12.9
Teleop25.0
End7.3
red by 10.7
4593
#10
34.50.1
34.134.2
Auto8.9
Teleop18.1
End7.5
Second
33.60.5
31.331.8
Auto11.2
Teleop15.4
End7.0
red by 2.1
3648
#16
31.40.1
31.031.2
Auto6.5
Teleop17.4
End7.5
Third
4418
#22
25.40.5
23.223.6
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End7.2
red by 5.7
2083
#36
19.70.1
19.319.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End8.3