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Red181
161962.0
337423.9
449974.1
Blue153
141037.8
494441.1
999235.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159101050200250300181153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.10.4
72.973.3
Auto15.5
Teleop49.5
End6.5
red by 33.1
4944
#17
41.10.9
39.740.5
Auto10.1
Teleop22.9
End7.9
Second
1619
#10
62.00.4
60.761.2
Auto14.4
Teleop40.0
End5.7
red by 24.2
1410
#32
37.80.9
36.537.3
Auto9.9
Teleop20.6
End7.4
Third
3374
#40
23.90.4
22.723.1
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End8.0
blue by 11.3
9992
#18
35.31.0
33.634.6
Auto7.4
Teleop19.9
End8.2