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Red189
161962.0
337423.9
449974.1
Blue141
141037.8
494441.1
999235.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161104050200250189141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.10.8
73.374.1
Auto15.5
Teleop49.5
End6.5
red by 33.1
4944
#17
41.10.5
40.541.1
Auto10.1
Teleop22.9
End7.9
Second
1619
#10
62.00.8
61.262.0
Auto14.4
Teleop40.0
End5.7
red by 24.2
1410
#32
37.80.5
37.337.8
Auto9.9
Teleop20.6
End7.4
Third
3374
#40
23.90.8
23.123.9
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End8.0
blue by 11.3
9992
#18
35.30.6
34.635.3
Auto7.4
Teleop19.9
End8.2