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Red62
999617.2
320033.0
179919.8
Blue101
999235.3
833423.3
999714.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6940010015020025062101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3200
#22
33.00.4
25.525.9
Auto6.1
Teleop20.2
End6.7
blue by 2.3
9992
#18
35.34.5
18.222.7
Auto7.4
Teleop19.9
End8.2
Second
1799
#34
19.80.4
19.620.0
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End6.2
blue by 3.5
8334
#30
23.32.7
21.924.6
Auto7.6
Teleop9.1
End6.7
Third
9996
#24
17.20.7
11.011.7
Auto6.7
Teleop2.8
End8.0
red by 2.9
9997
#33
14.44.5
10.414.9
Auto2.7
Teleop7.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
1%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
21%Activation oddsEarned17%Activation oddsEarned