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Red131
999840.5
224046.7
999930.7
Blue91
208334.1
441830.0
748513.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions836720406010012014013191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2240
#19
46.72.5
44.146.6
Auto8.9
Teleop29.2
End8.1
red by 12.6
2083
#13
34.11.0
27.928.9
Auto11.6
Teleop14.4
End8.2
Second
40.54.1
31.835.9
Auto7.3
Teleop24.7
End8.9
red by 10.5
30.01.0
24.625.6
Auto6.8
Teleop17.6
End5.6
Third
30.74.1
18.222.3
Auto6.8
Teleop18.3
End5.6
red by 16.8
7485
#38
13.91.0
8.09.0
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsMissed