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Red99
998717.5
203638.9
406842.8
Blue37
438821.5
998918.1
77375.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106300501502009937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4068
#11
42.80.3
45.144.8
Auto12.3
Teleop22.8
End7.8
red by 21.3
4388
#23
21.50.6
18.217.6
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End5.6
Second
38.90.3
32.031.7
Auto13.9
Teleop17.5
End7.5
red by 20.8
9989
#26
18.11.1
18.117.1
Auto2.2
Teleop9.7
End6.6
Third
9987
#27
17.50.5
14.413.9
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End3.0
red by 12.2
7737
#41
5.30.6
5.24.6
Auto1.4
Teleop2.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsMissed26%Activation oddsMissed