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Red118
161962.0
337423.9
833423.3
Blue159
449974.1
294533.1
297235.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10913650100150200118159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#10
62.00.2
59.259.3
Auto14.4
Teleop40.0
End5.7
blue by 12.1
74.11.8
71.373.1
Auto15.5
Teleop49.5
End6.5
Second
3374
#40
23.90.2
26.626.8
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End8.0
blue by 11.2
2972
#12
35.11.8
32.434.2
Auto10.6
Teleop14.8
End10.0
Third
8334
#30
23.30.2
24.624.8
Auto7.6
Teleop9.1
End6.7
blue by 9.8
33.11.8
28.730.5
Auto8.3
Teleop17.6
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability oddsMissed75%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned