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Red97
406842.8
224046.7
77375.3
Blue105
998823.1
455038.6
294533.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10110270809011012013097105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2240
#19
46.70.1
45.745.7
Auto8.9
Teleop29.2
End8.1
red by 8.1
4550
#21
38.60.4
38.337.9
Auto11.4
Teleop19.3
End8.1
Second
4068
#11
42.80.1
43.543.6
Auto12.3
Teleop22.8
End7.8
red by 9.7
33.10.4
31.631.2
Auto8.3
Teleop17.6
End7.5
Third
7737
#41
5.30.1
7.07.1
Auto1.4
Teleop2.4
End1.4
blue by 17.9
9988
#20
23.10.6
23.422.8
Auto3.4
Teleop13.1
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsMissed59%Activation oddsEarned