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Red29
364820.2
549313.4
999714.4
Blue105
999125.2
999930.7
999235.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496802040608010012014029105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3648
#31
20.21.8
19.717.8
Auto5.0
Teleop9.1
End6.3
blue by 15.1
9992
#18
35.32.1
24.626.7
Auto7.4
Teleop19.9
End8.2
Second
9997
#33
14.42.7
17.414.7
Auto2.7
Teleop7.5
End4.4
blue by 16.3
30.72.1
25.127.2
Auto6.8
Teleop18.3
End5.6
Third
5493
#39
13.41.8
14.712.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End1.8
blue by 11.8
9991
#15
25.22.1
23.525.5
Auto5.9
Teleop11.5
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsEarned