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Red107
297235.1
438821.5
999316.2
Blue138
141037.8
320033.0
208334.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73109050150200250300107138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2972
#12
35.12.8
33.936.8
Auto10.6
Teleop14.8
End10.0
blue by 2.7
1410
#32
37.81.9
33.034.9
Auto9.9
Teleop20.6
End7.4
Second
4388
#23
21.52.8
18.120.9
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End5.6
blue by 12.6
2083
#13
34.11.9
31.833.7
Auto11.6
Teleop14.4
End8.2
Third
9993
#28
16.23.8
12.416.2
Auto2.5
Teleop7.9
End6.2
blue by 16.8
3200
#22
33.01.9
29.931.8
Auto6.1
Teleop20.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsEarned