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Red74
998918.1
197721.3
999013.7
Blue85
999528.2
833423.3
441830.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61830501001502007485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1977
#29
21.31.5
19.220.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End6.2
blue by 8.7
30.00.4
28.428.8
Auto6.8
Teleop17.6
End5.6
Second
9989
#26
18.11.9
16.118.1
Auto2.2
Teleop9.7
End6.6
blue by 10.1
28.20.5
28.128.6
Auto9.2
Teleop12.5
End6.8
Third
9990
#35
13.71.9
11.813.7
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.2
blue by 9.6
8334
#30
23.30.4
22.923.2
Auto7.6
Teleop9.1
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsMissed36%Activation oddsEarned