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Red130
999840.5
294533.1
133955.2
Blue30
179919.8
337423.9
494441.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126975015020013030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.20.4
53.253.6
Auto14.8
Teleop32.3
End7.7
red by 14.1
4944
#17
41.14.4
40.836.5
Auto10.1
Teleop22.9
End7.9
Second
40.50.6
38.839.3
Auto7.3
Teleop24.7
End8.9
red by 16.5
3374
#40
23.94.4
26.722.3
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End8.0
Third
33.10.4
31.231.6
Auto8.3
Teleop17.6
End7.5
red by 13.2
1799
#34
19.84.4
22.818.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
72%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsMissed