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Red136
455038.6
133955.2
833423.3
Blue108
438821.5
203638.9
299634.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13393050150200250136108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.20.4
53.654.0
Auto14.8
Teleop32.3
End7.7
red by 16.3
38.90.8
37.137.9
Auto13.9
Teleop17.5
End7.5
Second
4550
#21
38.60.4
37.938.3
Auto11.4
Teleop19.3
End8.1
red by 3.7
2996
#16
34.90.8
32.633.4
Auto8.2
Teleop19.9
End6.8
Third
8334
#30
23.30.4
23.223.6
Auto7.6
Teleop9.1
End6.7
red by 1.8
4388
#23
21.50.8
20.921.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
67%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned