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Red140
161962.0
833423.3
449974.1
Blue103
999235.3
141037.8
297235.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16085050100200250140103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.10.3
72.872.5
Auto15.5
Teleop49.5
End6.5
red by 36.3
1410
#32
37.80.1
33.133.3
Auto9.9
Teleop20.6
End7.4
Second
1619
#10
62.00.3
60.660.3
Auto14.4
Teleop40.0
End5.7
red by 26.7
9992
#18
35.30.1
29.529.7
Auto7.4
Teleop19.9
End8.2
Third
8334
#30
23.30.3
23.623.3
Auto7.6
Teleop9.1
End6.7
blue by 11.8
2972
#12
35.10.1
35.035.1
Auto10.6
Teleop14.8
End10.0