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Red60
438821.5
406842.8
999528.2
Blue70
549313.4
208334.1
999930.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99710501502006070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4068
#11
42.80.7
43.142.3
Auto12.3
Teleop22.8
End7.8
red by 8.7
2083
#13
34.10.1
33.733.5
Auto11.6
Teleop14.4
End8.2
Second
28.20.9
28.627.7
Auto9.2
Teleop12.5
End6.8
blue by 2.4
30.70.2
30.129.9
Auto6.8
Teleop18.3
End5.6
Third
4388
#23
21.50.7
21.821.0
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End5.6
red by 8.0
5493
#39
13.40.1
13.012.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End1.8