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Red125
179919.8
133955.2
224046.7
Blue135
299634.9
294533.1
372933.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136101050150200250125135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.20.2
54.054.1
Auto14.8
Teleop32.3
End7.7
red by 20.3
2996
#16
34.90.9
33.434.3
Auto8.2
Teleop19.9
End6.8
Second
2240
#19
46.70.2
45.545.6
Auto8.9
Teleop29.2
End8.1
red by 13.6
33.10.9
31.632.5
Auto8.3
Teleop17.6
End7.5
Third
1799
#34
19.80.2
18.418.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End6.2
blue by 13.2
3729
#14
33.00.9
31.632.4
Auto12.4
Teleop13.8
End6.9