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Red138
455038.6
429343.6
999840.5
Blue142
203638.9
441830.0
320033.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12210650150200138142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.60.3
42.742.9
Auto9.3
Teleop26.4
End7.8
red by 4.7
38.90.9
37.938.8
Auto13.9
Teleop17.5
End7.5
Second
40.50.3
39.339.6
Auto7.3
Teleop24.7
End8.9
red by 7.5
3200
#22
33.00.9
31.832.7
Auto6.1
Teleop20.2
End6.7
Third
4550
#21
38.60.3
38.338.6
Auto11.4
Teleop19.3
End8.1
red by 8.6
30.00.9
28.829.7
Auto6.8
Teleop17.6
End5.6