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Red142
999235.3
494441.1
141037.8
Blue116
438821.5
406842.8
999528.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96936080100120140142116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4944
#17
41.10.8
36.537.3
Auto10.1
Teleop22.9
End7.9
blue by 1.7
4068
#11
42.80.4
42.342.8
Auto12.3
Teleop22.8
End7.8
Second
1410
#32
37.80.8
33.334.1
Auto9.9
Teleop20.6
End7.4
red by 9.6
28.20.5
27.728.2
Auto9.2
Teleop12.5
End6.8
Third
9992
#18
35.31.0
29.730.7
Auto7.4
Teleop19.9
End8.2
red by 13.8
4388
#23
21.50.4
21.021.5
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End5.6