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Red149
179919.8
133955.2
224046.7
Blue145
999840.5
429343.6
197721.3
67%Model gave it33%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13795050200250300149145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.20.7
54.154.8
Auto14.8
Teleop32.3
End7.7
red by 11.6
43.60.7
42.943.6
Auto9.3
Teleop26.4
End7.8
Second
2240
#19
46.70.7
45.646.3
Auto8.9
Teleop29.2
End8.1
red by 6.2
40.50.8
39.640.5
Auto7.3
Teleop24.7
End8.9
Third
1799
#34
19.80.7
18.619.3
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End6.2
blue by 1.5
1977
#29
21.30.7
20.621.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End6.2