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Red170
161962.0
337423.9
449974.1
Blue86
549313.4
208334.1
999930.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16262010020025017086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.10.4
72.572.9
Auto15.5
Teleop49.5
End6.5
red by 40.0
2083
#13
34.10.2
33.533.7
Auto11.6
Teleop14.4
End8.2
Second
1619
#10
62.00.4
60.360.8
Auto14.4
Teleop40.0
End5.7
red by 31.3
30.70.3
29.930.2
Auto6.8
Teleop18.3
End5.6
Third
3374
#40
23.90.4
22.322.7
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End8.0
red by 10.5
5493
#39
13.40.2
12.813.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End1.8