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Red149
161962.0
337423.9
449974.1
Blue104
299634.9
294533.1
372933.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158102050200250149104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.10.1
72.972.9
Auto15.5
Teleop49.5
End6.5
red by 39.3
2996
#16
34.90.1
34.834.9
Auto8.2
Teleop19.9
End6.8
Second
1619
#10
62.00.1
60.860.7
Auto14.4
Teleop40.0
End5.7
red by 28.9
33.10.1
33.033.1
Auto8.3
Teleop17.6
End7.5
Third
3374
#40
23.90.1
22.722.7
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End8.0
blue by 9.0
3729
#14
33.00.1
32.933.0
Auto12.4
Teleop13.8
End6.9